The consequences of a successful Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be catastrophic for the United States for a whole host of reasons. We are entering a very dangerous time in our relationship with China. My gut feeling is that if China intends to “try something” with Taiwan, it will happen in 2026.
Below are some links that might shed light on a complicated topic.
https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty-research/policy-topics/international-relations-security/understanding-relationship-between
https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF12481
https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IG10073
